Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0af3a4ed2b3ee24466b68c7255d1a02a9d6cd818deb2fca9588e58c1514fe76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 80,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,599.98 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 66c | 68,511$45,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,207.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 58,256$30,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,137.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 37,538$14,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,025.72 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 18,873$8,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,428.15 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 35c | 9,848$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,427.41 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 43c | 9,583$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 66c | 8,767$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 6,295$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.9 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 34c | 5,497$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.17 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…da1cbacked Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 63c | 4,800$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Yes | 64c | 3,907$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 66c | 3,817$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 3,100$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.94 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 36c | 2,500$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,499$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 7c | 2,099$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.94 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 1,999$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.65 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 1,987$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.52 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 1,939$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.12 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 1,937$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.66 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 36c | 1,689$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 36c | 1,540$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,535$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 1,482$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.96 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 19c | 1,290$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,169$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 35c | 1,165$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.93 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 61c | 1,021$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.03 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 995.47$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 68c | 994.62$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 13c | 903.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.29 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 848.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 38c | 779.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…6f8cbacked Yes | 66c | 712.54$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes | 63c | 696.75$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 65c | 669$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.85 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 36c | 620$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 65c | 551.75$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 520$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 64c | 516.72$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 64c | 512$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…b0ccbacked Yes | 65c | 507.69$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 453.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 62c | 437.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes | 26c | 428.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…5023backed Yes | 62c | 369.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5288…0439backed No | 36c | 368.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 351.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…4f06backed No | 37c | 340.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 49c | 326.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 65c | 284.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 57c | 281.92$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked No | 19c | 265$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 38c | 264.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 62c | 262.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 65c | 261.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 66c | 261.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 77c | 258.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 65c | 229.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 37c | 222$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Yes | 65c | 221.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 38c | 212.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d998backed Yes | 65c | 199.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 38c | 197.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 36c | 195.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed No | 65c | 182.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 34c | 176$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…3c31backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…3bcebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Parma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Parma win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.