Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22076ae6788e8e5c1e8a42ad315e2d2f5ccdd60e8f08088860d1ef89ca5fd2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1247…ab99backed No | 38c | 14,254$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 69c | 4,843$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.58 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…2da0backed No | 9c | 4,339$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 70c | 2,600$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 72c | 2,573$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 64c | 2,352$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 52c | 1,528$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.75 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…6180backed No | 44c | 1,177$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,057$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 67c | 966.81$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1b97backed No | 40c | 754.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 18c | 650$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…2b0dbacked Yes | 67c | 634.9$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 70c | 605.19$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 598.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 80c | 579$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 44c | 575.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed No | 30c | 563.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 516.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…1c0abacked Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 494.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 26c | 459.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…8d65backed No | 44c | 453.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 73c | 449.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 13c | 438.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 68c | 423.5$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed Yes | 66c | 408.91$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c9edbacked No | 23c | 386.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 32c | 381.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 4c | 378.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 66c | 375.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 62c | 348.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 77c | 343.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 27c | 331.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed No | 18c | 316.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 299.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…3f99backed No | 8c | 265.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked No | 8c | 244.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 77c | 223.4$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 63c | 209.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 54c | 201.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…9441backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…a10fbacked No | 31c | 199.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 27c | 188.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…cfa5backed No | 8c | 177.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 19c | 159.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…9571backed No | 19c | 137.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 79c | 126.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…a754backed Yes | 61c | 122$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed No | 15c | 103.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…4f52backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…1529backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…279ebacked No | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked No | 22c | 96.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 14c | 85.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…6ca1backed No | 24c | 84.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 79c | 82.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 72c | 79.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes | 62c | 78.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed No | 40c | 75.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 71c | 75.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…cb25backed No | 28c | 71.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 57c | 70.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e524backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 64c | 46.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…6af0backed No | 35c | 42.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 34.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…3f74backed Yes | 62c | 32.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…d074backed Yes | 71c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…f8e4backed Yes | 63c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 80c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked Yes | 80c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?Yes won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.