Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536a3d173b9ea28c7ce8f9e2fdb7c0f7e770c5d8dec20f8336a98088a2689e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 46c | 20,000$9,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,197.16 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 54c | 11,039$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.16 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 59c | 1,622$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.9 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 1,394$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 1,322$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 57c | 938.6$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.6 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 610.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…2e84backed Yes | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 54c | 397$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 35c | 228.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 213.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 192$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 191.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 48c | 153.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes | 58c | 121.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 59c | 108.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Yes | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 55c | 69.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 52c | 67.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 49c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 58.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…55c6backed Yes | 57c | 45.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 43.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 33c | 36.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 44c | 36.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 50c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…afd6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 44c | 33.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…37a6backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…ab21backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Samsunspor vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.