Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec5753bde5137d8a76b75e973b8e3ceb80d3e0125fb4357dff9063d3c7f105f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 46c | 4,267$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.31 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 56c | 2,977$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 47c | 2,917$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 1,722$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.14 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,695$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.99 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,672$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.35 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,219$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.93 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,181$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.02 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 58c | 847.39$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 771.66$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 67c | 699.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 79c | 545.95$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 468$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 57c | 457.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 375$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 35c | 289.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 43c | 241.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 35c | 139$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 64c | 77.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 35c | 57.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 47.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…f5d0backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…6b43backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.