Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cd06f12e9206ca8d80108d25a1862b7a71bdaf4ef6e09854d7f9c0942e9c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 15,141$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.11 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 12,748$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 1,621$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.67 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 71c | 551$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 546.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 457.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 39c | 395$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 321.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 274$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…db70backed Yes | 39c | 259.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 144$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 56.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 62c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…36adbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.