La Liga · resolved market
Espanyol vs. Villarreal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa470947e5a2fc5da34603ca30dc538e24ed0abbf8f3e6c6eb6c68b08b5e28883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 17,043$8,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 52c | 13,999$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.56 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.36 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 58c | 1,497$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 54c | 625.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…ae8cbacked Over | 54c | 426.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 53c | 375$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Over | 31c | 371.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 290.87$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Over | 54c | 266.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 162.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…7e67backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 54c | 100.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 52c | 89.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 49c | 87.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 60c | 71.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Under | 37c | 53.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…df20backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Espanyol vs. Villarreal: O/U 2.5this page
- Espanyol vs. Villarreal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Villarreal (-0.5)Villarreal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.