Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a0535c50ee20132a96985fb589465826f11bf9ea739514be4d0275a12d053d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,910$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 56c | 4,549$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 41c | 1,476$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.51 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 59c | 848.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Over | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 59c | 338.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 58c | 220.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 40c | 174.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 42c | 173.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Over | 58c | 171.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 58c | 165.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 42c | 131.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 51.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 54c | 51.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Under | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Over | 59c | 34.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked Over | 61c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…df20backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Over | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-0.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.