TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$551,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$612,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c59,441$22,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,187.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed No69c34,443$23,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,594.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes54c25,818$13,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,891.5629253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No45c25,552$11,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,942.496445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked No70c25,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5002556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes29c21,109$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,221.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes30c15,000$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,950.331947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes48c14,159$6,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,790.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…2be9backed Yes31c11,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c9,304$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.172,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes50c8,721$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.926650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Yes30c6,551$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.22839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes31c6,500$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c4,861$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.221,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes44c4,804$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.623246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes28c4,012$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.3811346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c3,929$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.324,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No54c3,720$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.044348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes31c3,342$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.571,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c3,334$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed No68c3,000$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes19c2,688$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.4130739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No60c2,665$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.6242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes30c2,463$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.8149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked No61c2,425$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes49c2,023$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.234528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No70c2,012$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.585246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed No73c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes30c1,997$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.0890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed No70c1,980$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.032657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c1,950$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.51,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes33c1,768$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.424134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes29c1,644$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.249035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No49c1,559$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.0410737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes29c1,550$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No43c1,449$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.866746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No70c1,431$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.499846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Yes31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c1,269$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.521,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Yes17c1,269$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No62c1,218$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes28c1,180$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3297742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c1,180$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.661,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes31c1,078$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4458445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes38c1,014$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed No51c980.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.785151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes52c952.83$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes30c933$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No42c880.95$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.958243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x855d…349fbacked Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes11c818.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c812.62$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.951,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c793.52$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.11,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c789.47$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No67c750.94$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8128355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes3c734.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No42c611.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.96838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No71c586.75$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.163063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes29c573.21$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Yes31c516$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.96287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No69c511$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5216453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29010333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes29c499.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c497$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes32c449.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.986055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b6f…d853backed No48c430.92$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No68c410.5$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3615764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c401$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c400.62$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3896…899fbacked No68c389.93$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No50c348.53$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed No69c335$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes32c330.9$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes42c306$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes33c304.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.512639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed No67c299.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes33c281.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb531…b230backed Yes54c278.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.631346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No69c275.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3619244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No57c269.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.561758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed No51c249.41$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes35c241.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0825949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.