TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$839,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$893,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed No59c102,567$60,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,244.824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,0002556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c86,629$33,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,907.31,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c49,744$19,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,331.861,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c43,048$19,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,942.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No60c39,219$23,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,597.8610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No72c31,991$22,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,951.0329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No61c28,870$17,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,610.4321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No58c28,182$16,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,363.672839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes40c24,755$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,754.536240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed No61c17,232$10,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,511.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,15031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes32c14,797$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,101.436650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c13,765$8,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,743.544,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c13,631$8,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,475.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No62c12,000$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.9810962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c10,458$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.011,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes40c10,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0502250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No61c9,003$5,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,491.536450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No61c8,898$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.9818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes32c8,423$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,733.913727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c7,724$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,255.022,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes42c7,485$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.481770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes27c6,076$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.616746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes40c6,006$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.299242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes36c6,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.24746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a6…da23backed No61c5,838$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…2ca1backed Yes39c5,832$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c5,361$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.5190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes43c4,753$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.341241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No57c4,660$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.27542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes40c4,444$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No60c4,403$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.691,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes34c4,239$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.772657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No58c3,750$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes38c3,704$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.324658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c3,700$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.41,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c3,499$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…106dbacked Yes39c3,351$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No20c3,251$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.16435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No62c2,999$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes40c2,843$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.751952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No63c2,842$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.0330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No62c2,405$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49110737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes43c2,327$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.289946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No61c2,303$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No18c2,142$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1710042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes28c2,129$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.833231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes31c2,095$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.829843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes36c2,073$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.833246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes34c2,051$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+90%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.995352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No61c1,952$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.7245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes32c1,866$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.268348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes32c1,788$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.6551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes15c1,772$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.011833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes39c1,765$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.634959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes38c1,741$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.820239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes39c1,709$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.7349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No58c1,544$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.434264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes44c1,542$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.74050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes44c1,499$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.4825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes39c1,451$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.884134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No58c1,400$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.951,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c1,359$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes54c1,328$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.5636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No19c1,314$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8834628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes39c1,296$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.837358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes14c1,293$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.861926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes39c1,281$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.112642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x034a…2640backed Yes39c1,275$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Yes29c1,275$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No58c1,215$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.77149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes39c1,201$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.743345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes39c1,078$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.85151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,069$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.639537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c1,044$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.2342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No67c1,040$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No59c1,026$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.373348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes38c1,007$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6206857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No59c980$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.23221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x128f…c388backed Yes42c970$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed No59c960$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c951.03$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.7668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.