Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116913dcd4007e1d35441067b496299652e5febaece38b0974ccfd8c4f2e3c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 19c | 8,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,779$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 2,623$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.24 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,185$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 2,140$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.52 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 29c | 1,693$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Yes | 29c | 1,545$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 43c | 1,191$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.14 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 986.94$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 945.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 30c | 903.01$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 68c | 869.74$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 56c | 822.67$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.75 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 650$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 609$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.37 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 68c | 583.47$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 29c | 525.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 40c | 483.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 66c | 472.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 439$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 435$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 377.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…5f42backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 39c | 348.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 30c | 334.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 15c | 282.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…6c8abacked Yes | 24c | 275.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 20c | 268.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 244$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 29c | 221.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 30c | 214.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 69c | 212.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 200.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…ff79backed Yes | 24c | 150.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…3156backed Yes | 29c | 144$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Yes | 55c | 128.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 45c | 127.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed No | 48c | 104.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…1aa6backed No | 47c | 97.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 18c | 95.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 16c | 94.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 16c | 90.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 29c | 76.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…9423backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +145.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…c86cbacked Yes | 29c | 54.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 54.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 45c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…b214backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…90a8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…eb20backed Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 70c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 38.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.