Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ed93ecf7a1cecd9726120073dc659abb8d2da3b4276f2ad58ebddf6d7cb4b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 23c | 70,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 69c | 16,631$11,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.76 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 71c | 8,457$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.76 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 30c | 4,996$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 13c | 4,923$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 4,509$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 4,437$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.52 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 2,496$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.78 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 2,333$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.04 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 2,144$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.33 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 2,072$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.3 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 70c | 1,871$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,750$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 29c | 1,559$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,320$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,062$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 827.49$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…66a9backed Yes | 70c | 786.07$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 701$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 29c | 600$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 70c | 546$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…eff7backed Yes | 71c | 468.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 69c | 390$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 14c | 320$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 71c | 282.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 265.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 248.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 30c | 223.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 13c | 219.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…5c69backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 75c | 197.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…9d02backed Yes | 71c | 185.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes | 70c | 177.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 72c | 167.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 161.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 159.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…3c31backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 71c | 142.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 71c | 141.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 72c | 139.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 72c | 139.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 72c | 139.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 29c | 125.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes | 72c | 124.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Yes | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 30c | 119.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 118.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 71c | 118.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 30c | 115.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 70c | 115.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…755ebacked Yes | 69c | 105.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…492dbacked Yes | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 70c | 87.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…ac87backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes | 71c | 84.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…72e3backed Yes | 71c | 83.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…7644backed Yes | 70c | 80.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Yes | 70c | 75.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…f451backed Yes | 69c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…75f2backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…b471backed Yes | 69c | 71.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…0dfabacked Yes | 71c | 70.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 70c | 67.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed Yes | 70c | 65.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 70c | 64.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…941fbacked Yes | 72c | 60.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 70c | 59.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.