Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8aca2ee3db6de413c2dccc91eb0d7bc1b217733d550a4605155cd7330d9b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 72c | 2,405$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 55c | 2,294$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 5c | 2,206$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.77 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 17c | 1,820$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.57 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 34c | 1,708$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.41 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 18c | 1,640$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.14 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 2c | 1,604$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 26c | 1,425$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…0137backed Yes | 33c | 1,349$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 5c | 1,238$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.39 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,134$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d820backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 59c | 928.31$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked No | 16c | 926.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 921.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…5886backed Yes | 5c | 850.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 9c | 795.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.45 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 33c | 787.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 749.26$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…e10ebacked Yes | 7c | 644.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 4c | 615$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.83 | 474 | 17.9%85 W · 389 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 5c | 597.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.18 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 69c | 507.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80c8…35ebbacked Yes | 8c | 486.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked Yes | 60c | 475.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…b2e1backed Yes | 8c | 468.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…7b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 467.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…4571backed Yes | 22c | 441.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 435.3$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…54e1backed Yes | 39c | 428.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 78c | 367$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…364cbacked Yes | 37c | 361.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…6b7ebacked Yes | 76c | 337.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 10c | 308.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked Yes | 28c | 301.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 36c | 286.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 8c | 278$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…44fabacked Yes | 11c | 270.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…8e61backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…5110backed Yes | 12c | 240$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 24c | 200.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…f8d5backed Yes | 20c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 545 | 29.5%161 W · 384 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…d13abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 943 | 3.4%32 W · 911 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fa64backed Yes | 5c | 190$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 179.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Yes | 44c | 177.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 48c | 175.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Yes | 11c | 174.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +218%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…44d9backed Yes | 18c | 161.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…2ccdbacked Yes | 61c | 155.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed Yes | 14c | 143.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Yes | 37c | 116.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 10c | 115.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…7828backed Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 35c | 107.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…859cbacked No | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…a8f6backed Yes | 44c | 102.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…1614backed Yes | 49c | 101.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 65c | 98.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 25c | 97.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 19c | 96.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2390backed Yes | 44c | 81.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…1720backed Yes | 27c | 76.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 74c | 74.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…fba2backed No | 78c | 64.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aed…8220backed Yes | 65c | 61.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…ba69backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb041…23a7backed Yes | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…d78bbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…47d4backed Yes | 25c | 48.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…352ebacked Yes | 40c | 46.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…0ddebacked Yes | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…36eebacked Yes | 70c | 43.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 40.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 40.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…492cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…2c73backed No | 46c | 35.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…6168backed Yes | 40c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…217fbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…bdeebacked Yes | 78c | 28.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…659fbacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…4337backed Yes | 54c | 25.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…aa3abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…c580backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…0acdbacked Yes | 58c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…c5a0backed Yes | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on November 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on November 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.