Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef54a999d7cb561c901ba161700289b90be87b7915f91473e4a6d1f502a0e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 368 | 42.9%158 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 56c | 19,937$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.28 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 1,908$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.24 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 42c | 1,601$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 12c | 1,481$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 59c | 1,129$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,064$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.42 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,044$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 1,165 | 60.4%704 W · 461 L | +67.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 941.49$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 908.94$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 896.28$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 864.05$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.58 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 59c | 376.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 58c | 356.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed No | 41c | 238$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 53c | 217.4$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 45c | 204.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 56c | 143.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 55c | 76.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…98b2backed Yes | 58c | 75.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 42c | 71.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 42c | 70.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 45c | 62.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 43c | 41.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 33.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…dc60backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 57c | 24.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…cde8backed Yes | 59c | 20.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.