TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes28c50,000$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,25017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c21,667$14,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.894,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c14,526$8,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,391.449154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c11,872$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.3190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes30c10,028$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.364922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c7,655$5,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.71,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes48c4,766$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.034344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes45c4,490$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No57c4,391$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.058940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c3,910$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.423,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No55c2,801$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.3110438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No64c2,544$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.2569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No76c2,425$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.1315036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes45c1,549$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes45c1,467$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes23c1,297$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5221842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes17c1,207$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes46c1,096$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes43c999.93$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.974131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No51c994$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.0630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No55c938.5$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a1…6b32backed Yes44c920$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08c…19d2backed No57c880$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes43c750.01$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2f…77bbbacked No57c740$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc9…0b56backed Yes44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes2c610$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c526.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes44c526.29$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2329347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No59c465.46$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Yes49c452.2$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.582356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No42c445.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.58537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes43c405.72$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4613045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes44c402$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8814540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17214348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c385.41$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Yes30c378.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No56c378.57$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.573036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes44c365$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No57c305.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes46c297$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes45c290.49$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.722751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No55c249.94$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.472347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes43c231.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9140…4d82backed No78c225.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012951.2%66 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…0af7backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dc…aefabacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…a1abbacked Yes42c191.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes45c185.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6510437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes45c177.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7921648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c173.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No56c161.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.286940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c159$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…4a1dbacked Yes44c157.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No56c154.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7217252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes45c154.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes38c145.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.426728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes43c138.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes45c138.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb7e…61e3backed Yes45c133.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes41c130$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.821250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No56c119.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.824052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…932abacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…0731backed Yes45c111.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013057.7%75 W · 55 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes44c105.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.538261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No55c100.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.39353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.