La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ca1ef5a1186cdcc29d28876ae79c153399ef3e986e6b2370eaf5825f101db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 19,651$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 6c | 5,366$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 3,202$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.64 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 29c | 2,844$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 27c | 2,346$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 2,048$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.51 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 75c | 1,756$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 539$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 486.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 399$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 74c | 335.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 25c | 310.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 25c | 296.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 74c | 209.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 188$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 151.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…182abacked Yes | 27c | 139.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 22c | 116.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 27c | 81.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 27c | 73.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…c624backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…2649backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 63c | 56.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 62c | 55.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 54.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 62c | 36.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…7d48backed No | 74c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.