Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee4aae28b03a4512dd09d413778cdc8d198917ea0f0cc2cce7a9f987c12f58d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 23c | 6,837$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.04 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 79c | 5,160$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 22c | 3,019$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.71 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…00aebacked Yes | 28c | 2,267$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 76c | 2,047$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.21 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed No | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,300$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 78c | 1,117$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,003$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 20c | 965.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 18c | 753.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed Yes | 12c | 750.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 18c | 699.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 16c | 642.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 76c | 559.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 78c | 521.94$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 18c | 469.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed No | 80c | 465.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…7e8ebacked No | 80c | 420.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 379.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…d127backed Yes | 21c | 324.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 76c | 319.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 24c | 281.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked No | 76c | 243.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed No | 77c | 240.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 22c | 236.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes | 27c | 219.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed No | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 80c | 190.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 21c | 178.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 23c | 166.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 76c | 158.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 25c | 139.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 136.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 24c | 135.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 27c | 127.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…c695backed No | 80c | 125.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…056ebacked No | 80c | 118.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 78c | 116.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Yes | 23c | 109.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…8a6cbacked Yes | 21c | 101.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 23c | 100.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…179cbacked Yes | 22c | 100.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 18c | 100.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…ded7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…bd1dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 17c | 95.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…f23abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 78c | 91.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…ca87backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…2cfabacked No | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…14e9backed Yes | 25c | 80.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48b…cfbbbacked Yes | 20c | 72.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…dcc3backed Yes | 21c | 63.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…9b54backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…32b9backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…2c7cbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 23c | 52.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…96e3backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked No | 79c | 40.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…7823backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…af8dbacked No | 80c | 35.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…4e49backed No | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…96d3backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…4961backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…0cadbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…6f4dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…c40ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?this page
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes won
- Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.