Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f5f9a647781e3c8cb3b34bb847f5ba6172fd07330827a5197e9135dca49a95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 2c | 10,148$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Yes | 4c | 4,996$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 4c | 4,420$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,801$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…950fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,538$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 5c | 1,457$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,179$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5677backed Yes | 30c | 850.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…3efbbacked Yes | 24c | 647.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…a28ebacked Yes | 23c | 611$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 9c | 573.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Yes | 5c | 523.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 18c | 458.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 45c | 446.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944abacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8b…529cbacked Yes | 3c | 408.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…2956backed Yes | 11c | 390.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes | 11c | 390.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6d16backed Yes | 44c | 380.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 10c | 368.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…6898backed Yes | 6c | 344.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed Yes | 12c | 324.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…22aebacked Yes | 6c | 318.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked Yes | 32c | 295.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…99ebbacked Yes | 7c | 281.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d03…32cabacked Yes | 23c | 265.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 25c | 264.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…f692backed Yes | 24c | 263.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…3c9cbacked Yes | 6c | 247.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 235.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…0e66backed Yes | 7c | 220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…bd1dbacked Yes | 20c | 212.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 25c | 202.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 74c | 193.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…d57bbacked Yes | 7c | 172.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…45e0backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 54c | 166.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 27c | 153$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes | 41c | 146.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 14c | 144.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked Yes | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 25c | 121.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…00aebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…3f3fbacked Yes | 25c | 119.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed Yes | 17c | 116.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 32c | 113.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 11c | 112.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked Yes | 48c | 103.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…b38fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…d384backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 36c | 97.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 25c | 91.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…c79bbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…d562backed Yes | 21c | 86.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 71c | 83.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…ce47backed Yes | 26c | 76.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 30c | 66.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…8a7dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 30c | 64.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 67c | 64.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Yes | 28c | 61.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…a4ffbacked Yes | 49c | 61.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 58.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…3aedbacked Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 30c | 45.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…6532backed Yes | 27c | 45.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 26c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…903abacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…3cb1backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed Yes | 29c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 75c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…7aecbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…4cb2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…dcc3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…32b9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…e652backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?this page
- Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes won
- Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.