Us Politics · resolved market
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6100895545b55d112104deef399c3ca26d87ec3916bc77dbbf04a9ecc3fe6dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 21c | 4,065$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 23c | 1,800$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.77 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 21c | 1,261$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 79c | 1,081$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 80c | 1,056$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 12c | 763.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 656.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 17c | 441$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 26c | 358.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 23c | 313.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 33c | 304.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 25c | 264.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked Yes | 11c | 201.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 78c | 191.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 23c | 181.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…a28ebacked No | 76c | 164.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 24c | 156.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 153.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…00aebacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 24c | 138.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…6423backed No | 79c | 134.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 79c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 19c | 115.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…9008backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 23c | 95.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 81.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 74.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Yes | 25c | 65.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Yes | 27c | 46.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…05dabacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…1716backed No | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 68c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…76b0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?this page
- Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.