TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a99…2cfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Earnings, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$76.22
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.73
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$37.52
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+280.4%+$68.55
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+139%+$115.17
Will Trump say "Two Weeks" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+51.7%+$28.97
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$15.17
Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$53.11
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$92.22
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$59.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45.53
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.04
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$30.66
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.73
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.62
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$39.44
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.17
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.35
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+37%+$36.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+683%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+1,652.2%+$354.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.32
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$74.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.99
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+194.1%+$21.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$72.47
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+6,466.9%+$2,246.18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$26.73
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$85.02
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$40.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+350.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+350.5%+$41.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$45.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.