TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes37c59,110$21,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,819.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c41,273$27,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,410.5162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c26,664$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,825.991,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No64c13,271$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.518447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No78c8,718$6,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.2210752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No63c8,100$5,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9822365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c7,327$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.9935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No64c6,500$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No63c3,840$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.86454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes26c2,456$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.639348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c1,518$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.141,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes30c1,354$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes22c1,342$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c1,032$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c793$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.416060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed No66c782.35$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c638$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6823153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes26c458.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No76c421$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.492475%18 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No63c317$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.296756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c206.45$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c205$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6612343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c204.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7227244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…bb29backed Yes32c187.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes26c144$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.722142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes23c133.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.197252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c126$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.158263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes29c87.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c82.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes37c81.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2310952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes24c67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes26c63.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.536854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.315364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.318653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.319954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3120860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x119f…2c27backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes37c54.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.055851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.397163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3911556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed No64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No64c42.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Yes38c42.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.153557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Yes35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…9f0ebacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.479354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.475052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.475356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.477655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.477857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.479355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.479355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.479158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.478460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.479655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.477452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.476355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No63c30.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.478858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.366053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.367057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.146555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.146656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0310653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked No65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked No78c13.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.