Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241feb59ef9598a57918782334d2f20203f6c1df830ca98858892fb0a8b4d229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 67c | 13,170$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 33c | 10,303$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 4,322$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.92 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 36c | 2,777$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,757$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 965.11$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8223backed Yes | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 683.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 21c | 667.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 655.32$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 47c | 631.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.39 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 608.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 596.05$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 27c | 487.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 368.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 35c | 289.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 16c | 273.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 271.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 226$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 198.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 36c | 195.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…bb29backed Yes | 36c | 173.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 140.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 74c | 133.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 131.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 88.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 26c | 81.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 32c | 78.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…9f0ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 67c | 66.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 22c | 63.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 32c | 56.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 36c | 41.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 68c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.