TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb4b…cc54backed Yes7c19,234$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes72c5,823$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.3450%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed No34c3,242$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa502…3040backed No34c1,812$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.352356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb066…57aebacked Yes66c1,672$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No35c995$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.822556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9473…3b20backed No37c927$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.632462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4533…d575backed Yes54c735.1$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.162330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed No54c652$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8112100%12 W · 0 L+5.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed No40c487$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes52c486.33$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.891540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeeb4…21c1backed No40c374$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked No40c304.13$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.381275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked No25c299.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e3…3605backed Yes65c230.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…8454backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…2004backed No30c185$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes58c161.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7811831.4%37 W · 81 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed No30c160$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe280…f4d9backed Yes51c155.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.711040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed No39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912060%12 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+86.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Yes52c142.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+60.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No25c140.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8146314.3%66 W · 397 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked No35c137$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.172673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.1wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa2d1…d015backed Yes77c130.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a99…2cfabacked No42c123.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked No47c112$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55dd…8702backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc12…eb59backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.555540%22 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Yes57c92.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes67c89.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9921820.2%44 W · 174 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…abdfbacked No28c81.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.832770.4%19 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+56.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x331b…193fbacked No37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes58c61.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c23…2ecbbacked Yes53c59.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick60cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69df…8262backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c2…faa6backed No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb48…432fbacked Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b61…4394backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc09…4461backed No26c48.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…220abacked No74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677b…c0e1backed Yes73c45.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Yes78c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…76f2backed No41c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Yes58c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7975…d3f7backed Yes58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked Yes71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47121.1%15 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed No36c37.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.320331.5%64 W · 139 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a8…e20bbacked No36c37.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba6…e17bbacked Yes65c36.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No49c34.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6357838.9%225 W · 353 L-26.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked No49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…07e3backed Yes65c30.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7352…e156backed No48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…a66abacked No36c29.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…e564backed No49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcca…da80backed Yes68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x451b…1916backed Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x855f…3cc4backed Yes72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…fb05backed Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1940…f54abacked Yes73c17.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-85.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.