TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Dell say "RTX Pro 6000" during earnings call?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe180…889bbacked Yes40c333$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed No60c246.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1612100%12 W · 0 L+5.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked No56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.1wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed No53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.63354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc90…00aebacked Yes49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c23…2ecbbacked Yes74c43.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick60cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…220abacked No60c38.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9473…3b20backed No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes55c28.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5810658.5%62 W · 44 L+12.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes50c28.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1111831.4%37 W · 81 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes48c22.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes58c18.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5220331.5%64 W · 139 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.