Earnings · resolved market
Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbad73c19d86ee99cb457179cbeb78c5a7b93d88c08b39a3a8377840899b7432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4533…d575backed Yes | 67c | 745.5$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed No | 34c | 624.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.48 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…abdfbacked No | 33c | 537.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…a377backed Yes | 68c | 389$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed No | 35c | 284$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 75c | 225.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 56c | 153.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…9f30backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 34c | 82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 60c | 68.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 68c | 63.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 70c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed No | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…4b3abacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…2ecbbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 31c | 33.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c6…d483backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?this page
- Will Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "Dell Pro Max" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "EPS Growth" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Dell say "New Product" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "RTX Pro 6000" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?No won
- Will Dell say "Zoho" during earnings call?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.