Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa66eb115a855e259206b6716b518ee9323da8722c40ccf6d1bdda9565f4ee93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Yes | 34c | 798.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 28c | 489.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.15 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 34c | 332.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed Yes | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed No | 59c | 295.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 24c | 276.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 76c | 273.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 54c | 258.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 42c | 238.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 60c | 212.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 66c | 199.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked No | 62c | 160.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…e628backed Yes | 46c | 158.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 57c | 146.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked Yes | 36c | 136.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…9d46backed Yes | 38c | 131.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…26dfbacked No | 65c | 125.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 120.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 35c | 114.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 105.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…31aabacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 32c | 91.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 37c | 83.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…ed09backed Yes | 35c | 81.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 23c | 78.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 56c | 77.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 69c | 77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +355.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…0317backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 45c | 66.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…e532backed No | 72c | 54.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 63c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 33c | 51.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked No | 62c | 49.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed Yes | 34c | 40.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…2310backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…17a0backed No | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…ac96backed No | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…19febacked No | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…2fc5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…ed9cbacked No | 74c | 19.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 60c | 16.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…03cbbacked No | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crime" or "Stabbed in the ass" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Muslim" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Princess" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "UFC" or "America 250" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.