Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce0eb08b266f8b9061c38fd1f83f1a4525a0ad2218936ffba257450340c89e4

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes	48c	555$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.46	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+8.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	44c	400$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	136	39%53 W · 83 L	+12.0wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce1…7b18backed No	57c	357.21$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	41c	212.48$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.12	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff3…c49fbacked No	74c	198.58$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.65	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.21per pick	63cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c98…a50fbacked No	60c	166.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.9	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes	13c	155$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No	51c	150$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x707f…6fc4backed No	75c	137$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a3…b394backed No	55c	130$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.46	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.7wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+226.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes	47c	104.08$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	75c	100.21$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.28	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	137	38%52 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1916…b8edbacked No	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-53%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd74d…ff5ebacked No	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes	46c	94.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.17	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	50c	68.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	26c	59.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes	40c	53.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e3…3327backed No	57c	53.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+5.1wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+7.2wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked Yes	50c	49.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	-9.1wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0a6…e0c2backed Yes	26c	40.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4e…d9dbbacked No	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-3.6wins	-0.32per pick	69cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…7137backed No	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5d…70f0backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event