Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96a9237a11bce44271aeeddae1de74690aad39dffd5d75a259f0e0558f818d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 36c | 1,788$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.07 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed No | 70c | 1,165$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,079$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.77 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 58c | 797.85$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 70c | 697.21$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…7005backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yes | 33c | 570.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…4a7bbacked Yes | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 432.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 35c | 344.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 67c | 299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 26c | 286$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed No | 59c | 283.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 29c | 225$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 31c | 220.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 31c | 219.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 35c | 215.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 30c | 196.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked No | 79c | 125.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 27c | 105.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…a3b8backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3eabbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…822fbacked Yes | 33c | 99.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 37c | 95.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked No | 66c | 90.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 64c | 77.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 67c | 74.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…d2fbbacked No | 69c | 72.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 30c | 71.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…3327backed No | 71c | 70.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 67c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked No | 68c | 63.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 66c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 68c | 48.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…9b94backed Yes | 33c | 45.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…6c7cbacked No | 70c | 39.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…d75dbacked Yes | 31c | 38.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…0555backed No | 69c | 36.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…3dd3backed No | 70c | 35.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…085cbacked Yes | 31c | 33.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…a2c5backed No | 71c | 32.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…878ebacked No | 71c | 31.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…8aaebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…c292backed No | 69c | 28.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 68c | 22.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 68c | 22.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 68c | 22.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…7137backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…d35bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crime" or "Stabbed in the ass" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Muslim" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Princess" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "UFC" or "America 250" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.