Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ea7a8a1595a207f69970475a6f8bcc7de083d5ffce17a623157397fed57290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 39c | 2,436$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 44c | 1,349$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed No | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…e5b6backed No | 59c | 675.24$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…7005backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 39c | 537.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 68c | 483.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed No | 33c | 475.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 67c | 420$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 28c | 397.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 39c | 389.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 30c | 346.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 27c | 342.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 47c | 294.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 35c | 288.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 50c | 285.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked No | 40c | 249.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 33c | 240$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 32c | 236.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…00aebacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed No | 68c | 187.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 69c | 180.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 175$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 56c | 139.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…5c01backed Yes | 42c | 118.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 33c | 116.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…41f9backed No | 72c | 114.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…3327backed No | 72c | 110.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked Yes | 35c | 109.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 30c | 108.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 32c | 106.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…dc46backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…efc1backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 99.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 47c | 94.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 55c | 85.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 58c | 84.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 72c | 83.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…4e64backed Yes | 32c | 75.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…7137backed No | 43c | 74.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…2f7ebacked Yes | 27c | 64.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…4545backed No | 67c | 59.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 61c | 58.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 35c | 56.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…3c8cbacked No | 40c | 52.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…240ebacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…97c0backed No | 65c | 45.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…a1f3backed Yes | 33c | 43.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes | 33c | 34.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 41c | 34.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…8a7ebacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3eabbacked No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…a349backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…126bbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +183.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…70f0backed No | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 62c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…0053backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…9cc3backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…03cbbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crime" or "Stabbed in the ass" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Muslim" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Princess" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump say "UFC" or "America 250" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?No won
- Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.