Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6978225dfe520e80ea91306f6d322d53f0810dec87338374c7985d58215c712d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593e…8cc6backed No | 40c | 8,322$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…a496backed Yes | 64c | 4,253$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 5c | 2,290$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 20c | 1,925$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.41 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 69c | 1,834$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 47c | 1,196$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.47 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 45c | 1,124$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 18c | 1,109$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.15 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 19c | 1,087$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.47 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 76c | 1,048$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 17c | 1,007$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.46 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…61d5backed Yes | 51c | 850$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 15c | 776.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 33c | 763.89$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…8c80backed No | 72c | 754.1$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 2c | 746.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 79c | 739.07$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…6b5cbacked Yes | 59c | 674.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 37c | 633.96$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…1f21backed Yes | 3c | 614.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…0914backed Yes | 3c | 581.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 21c | 553.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 17c | 499.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 79c | 496.35$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 23c | 490.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…26b0backed Yes | 62c | 486.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 11c | 473.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 462.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed No | 48c | 440.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 39c | 428.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 76c | 423.3$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1b97backed No | 25c | 404.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 25c | 403.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.41 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 28c | 352.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 16c | 339.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…5884backed Yes | 54c | 334.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 9c | 281.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed Yes | 23c | 276.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…c787backed Yes | 29c | 272.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 17c | 221.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8a…fd8dbacked Yes | 56c | 187.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…9cebbacked No | 23c | 183.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…23d8backed Yes | 79c | 180.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes | 53c | 174$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…e1e2backed No | 18c | 160$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +465.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…4545backed Yes | 78c | 154.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 16c | 139.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 27c | 127$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 66c | 120.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 35c | 114.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 50c | 111$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 19c | 110.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 78c | 109.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 77c | 108.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…6ca1backed No | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 32c | 103.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…f325backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…be1fbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…6422backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 33cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 94.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 20c | 91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38de…5e07backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ad71backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 80c | 77.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 53c | 74.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7588backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…cd1abacked No | 37c | 60.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…b968backed Yes | 41c | 50.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…eabfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…ca20backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 27c | 45.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…a3c8backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 74c | 40.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 50c | 33.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…9d8ebacked Yes | 77c | 32.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…e46abacked Yes | 70c | 31.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…ed09backed Yes | 69c | 30.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…ca91backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.