Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1104aee65325a3ca2b11bbc443fecc083c52296188819b8c6b7a3792a04debad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 59c | 1,350$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 60c | 1,174$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.41 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 61c | 898$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 39c | 864.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.11 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…43b4backed No | 42c | 787.02$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 38c | 564.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed No | 43c | 465.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 48c | 402.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 44c | 398.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 41c | 380.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 56c | 361.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…056fbacked No | 43c | 346.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 13c | 313.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Yes | 63c | 303.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed No | 39c | 259.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 57c | 247.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 52c | 222.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 37c | 219.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 38c | 213$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 7c | 207.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 201.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…8464backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 38c | 196$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 58c | 194.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 59c | 193$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 37c | 192.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 36c | 181.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 54c | 175.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3367backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 39c | 165.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…9ec0backed Yes | 61c | 165.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked No | 46c | 162.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 56c | 161$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…0771backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 59c | 149.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked No | 45c | 149.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 45c | 141.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 56c | 139.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…109abacked No | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…b610backed No | 55c | 126.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…c792backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…1facbacked No | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 62c | 111$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 60c | 110.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 61c | 97.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 62c | 97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 62c | 97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed No | 52c | 95.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…6b4ebacked Yes | 53c | 93.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 55c | 89.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…3079backed Yes | 40c | 89.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Yes | 62c | 89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 38c | 89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 62c | 87.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 83.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 41c | 79.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…4f04backed No | 41c | 78.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 52c | 76.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 42c | 75.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 58c | 74.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 60c | 71.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…ef7fbacked Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed No | 45c | 67.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…e92ebacked Yes | 54c | 56.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 71c | 54.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked No | 40c | 53.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 74c | 52.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Yes | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…548cbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…19b1backed No | 52c | 48.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.