Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61417e72a3aed8c73f542cb9bc7a54e402be274b29e98f573fbb141f04fe5463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 65c | 2,528$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.31 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 80c | 1,119$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 35c | 1,023$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 71c | 702.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 25c | 670.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.62 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 31c | 650$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 597$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 31c | 554.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.94 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked No | 27c | 553.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 76c | 549.65$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9edabacked Yes | 79c | 540.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 26c | 537.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 19c | 514.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 30c | 512.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…609ebacked Yes | 4c | 511.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 64c | 500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.74 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 73c | 480.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 43c | 471.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 26c | 390.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 20c | 382.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 32c | 379.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +116%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 67c | 357.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 51c | 355$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 32c | 329$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed No | 36c | 309.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 39c | 287.91$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…6af8backed No | 35c | 287.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked No | 37c | 272.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 37c | 272.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 29c | 259.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 68c | 250.34$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 32c | 240$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 29c | 239.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 66c | 222$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…18c3backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 59c | 203.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…dc46backed Yes | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 62c | 199.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1b97backed No | 51c | 196.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…27ccbacked No | 38c | 189.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 28c | 188.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 79c | 162.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 50c | 161.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 19c | 160$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed No | 62c | 159$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Yes | 67c | 152.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 21c | 149.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 69c | 145.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 69c | 145.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 35c | 141.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…3805backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 28c | 140.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…ac98backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…f325backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed No | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 33c | 122.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 70c | 116.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 67c | 111.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…2f7ebacked No | 32c | 101.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…abf8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 68c | 99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Yes | 68c | 95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 32c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 77c | 89.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…8464backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 32c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked No | 58c | 85.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Yes | 68c | 85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…557fbacked No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 68c | 82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…8127backed Yes | 62c | 81.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 25c | 79.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 74.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 27c | 68.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…324abacked Yes | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 68c | 66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…73e1backed No | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 32c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Yes | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…4fb8backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 73c | 54.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.