Premier League · resolved market
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a71c4f8e508de86cd3a4a5d790385c04c73ee28e603e0852645d6144901ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,405,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,244,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,405,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 6c | 56,240$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.73 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…46a7backed Yes | 5c | 54,077$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +543.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 8c | 45,654$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,174.56 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 10c | 37,879$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,908.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…c861backed Yes | 15c | 28,267$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 8c | 25,168$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…6368backed Yes | 18c | 24,584$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 66c | 23,349$15,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,462.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6843…fedcbacked Yes | 37c | 21,142$7,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…7a6abacked Yes | 55c | 20,081$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…9c26backed No | 17c | 18,886$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,673.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +560.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…2e79backed Yes | 15c | 15,963$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d98bbacked Yes | 5c | 14,565$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked Yes | 66c | 11,590$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 11,157$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,207.54 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…1b05backed Yes | 9c | 10,973$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 62c | 10,607$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.82 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd80…f516backed Yes | 6c | 10,001$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…27f1backed Yes | 70c | 8,975$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc114…b978backed Yes | 5c | 8,743$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…3c5cbacked No | 17c | 8,411$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +485.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…bac1backed Yes | 26c | 8,301$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…d643backed Yes | 16c | 7,900$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9052…87ecbacked Yes | 76c | 7,507$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5900backed Yes | 9c | 7,475$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…fa87backed Yes | 8c | 7,232$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 13c | 7,107$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 4c | 6,659$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…648cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,630$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,013$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…c646backed Yes | 15c | 5,948$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…ca88backed No | 15c | 5,723$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +576.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…650abacked Yes | 8c | 5,129$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 10c | 5,080$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes | 10c | 4,738$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…b775backed Yes | 8c | 4,645$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…b193backed Yes | 14c | 4,575$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…9d96backed No | 9c | 4,546$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,244.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…9ae5backed Yes | 7c | 4,496$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…c5dcbacked Yes | 69c | 4,295$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 6c | 4,187$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 25c | 4,178$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…7febbacked Yes | 6c | 4,048$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,982$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…dd74backed Yes | 6c | 3,848$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 6c | 3,710$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 8c | 3,683$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…0a85backed Yes | 9c | 3,579$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 7c | 3,520$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…3c52backed Yes | 6c | 3,386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 12c | 3,317$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes | 29c | 3,285$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 63c | 3,166$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…f4e9backed Yes | 65c | 3,110$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,076$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Yes | 16c | 3,064$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…de1cbacked Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…8535backed Yes | 5c | 2,889$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…0841backed Yes | 5c | 2,808$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…f04bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,798$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Yes | 12c | 2,798$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 8c | 2,791$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…62b8backed Yes | 7c | 2,705$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…7fa4backed Yes | 19c | 2,651$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…fdfcbacked Yes | 16c | 2,628$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed No | 9c | 2,618$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…4294backed No | 8c | 2,608$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…59dfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 11c | 2,550$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed Yes | 11c | 2,544$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 42c | 2,497$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.94 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…51efbacked Yes | 8c | 2,444$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…563dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,438$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…0f9bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…99c8backed No | 14c | 2,249$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +269.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…0dadbacked No | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…5543backed Yes | 12c | 2,126$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3ce2backed Yes | 20c | 2,063$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,055$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…3094backed Yes | 4c | 2,045$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…a15abacked Yes | 10c | 1,985$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,843$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…9574backed Yes | 9c | 1,800$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8fcabacked Yes | 12c | 1,759$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed Yes | 8c | 1,749$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…435dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,674$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,658$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,617$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 16c | 1,613$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfe…30afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,611$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 37c | 1,601$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…d94bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,596$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 12c | 1,594$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…4a71backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 1,419$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.89 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,417$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,402$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.