Premier League · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc5b66649ae1804da1d1ca2fc7bae8c84ee11261f03a19a057b1b097a17d652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,976,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,976,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 155,554$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 74,279$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 68,858$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…5abcbacked Yes | 0c | 65,603$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…2d3bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,603$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…35d9backed Yes | 0c | 65,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…642bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…a561backed Yes | 0c | 65,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…b741backed Yes | 0c | 65,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…fcf6backed Yes | 0c | 65,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…6259backed Yes | 0c | 65,586$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae9…88adbacked Yes | 0c | 65,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…5bb0backed Yes | 0c | 65,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0541…1b1cbacked Yes | 0c | 65,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…6135backed Yes | 0c | 65,286$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…56cfbacked Yes | 0c | 63,560$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4086…82c9backed Yes | 0c | 62,940$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…7c71backed Yes | 0c | 59,422$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 59,204$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…b425backed Yes | 0c | 57,012$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…00afbacked Yes | 0c | 55,208$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…8910backed Yes | 0c | 55,208$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…1d55backed Yes | 0c | 55,208$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…682fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…23aabacked Yes | 0c | 53,470$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…4045backed Yes | 0c | 53,120$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…fef9backed Yes | 0c | 52,907$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…cc71backed Yes | 0c | 52,900$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…9a6abacked Yes | 0c | 52,885$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…61cfbacked Yes | 0c | 52,860$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…2d3ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,840$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…574cbacked Yes | 0c | 52,600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…370bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…3980backed Yes | 0c | 52,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…743bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…7de5backed Yes | 0c | 51,078$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…82e7backed Yes | 0c | 51,012$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…c75ebacked Yes | 0c | 47,942$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…48f0backed Yes | 0c | 47,847$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…af75backed Yes | 0c | 47,842$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…d8abbacked Yes | 0c | 43,208$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…299cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,552$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…cc9dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,842$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…166ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…f9c1backed Yes | 0c | 37,613$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…1bdcbacked Yes | 0c | 37,598$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…81fabacked Yes | 0c | 33,406$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…79d8backed Yes | 0c | 32,259$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…4fb5backed Yes | 0c | 32,205$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…5db3backed Yes | 0c | 32,169$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…74babacked Yes | 0c | 32,145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…2935backed Yes | 0c | 32,028$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…d9ddbacked Yes | 0c | 29,862$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…9ddcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,606$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…f08bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,867$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…14d8backed Yes | 0c | 24,052$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…395bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,795$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…8a87backed Yes | 0c | 23,752$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…33aebacked Yes | 0c | 23,552$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…af79backed Yes | 0c | 23,460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…d214backed Yes | 0c | 23,407$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…7f43backed Yes | 0c | 23,152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…913fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,999$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…3121backed Yes | 0c | 22,952$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eba…68d1backed Yes | 0c | 22,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8368…342fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…98e5backed Yes | 0c | 22,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…730fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,795$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…99c7backed Yes | 0c | 22,795$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,697$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…b8f0backed Yes | 0c | 22,552$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…0b3bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,552$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…b688backed Yes | 0c | 22,252$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…5942backed Yes | 0c | 22,252$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c860backed Yes | 0c | 22,052$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…fa4fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,052$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…76f7backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…5e03backed Yes | 0c | 21,876$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…d456backed Yes | 0c | 21,852$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…faf0backed Yes | 0c | 21,852$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…c7dabacked Yes | 0c | 21,852$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…7167backed Yes | 0c | 21,852$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…ad5fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,752$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…bfaebacked Yes | 0c | 21,752$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…4945backed Yes | 0c | 21,555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b18…689dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,552$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…39ccbacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…651cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,452$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…e9f0backed Yes | 0c | 21,452$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…ff59backed Yes | 0c | 21,352$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…f8bfbacked Yes | 0c | 21,252$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…9839backed Yes | 0c | 21,152$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915a…8e93backed Yes | 0c | 21,152$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…9999backed Yes | 0c | 21,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…676bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef3…a769backed Yes | 0c | 21,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e17…55c6backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…4d60backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…112fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.