Premier League · resolved market
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b1267c09dec2d42289c67029c1baa7f4745d78ee35f916fc6ce953bf4e8263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,193,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 194,486$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…4a71backed Yes | 0c | 100,651$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 85,654$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 61,641$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…8efbbacked Yes | 0c | 51,875$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…7ff9backed Yes | 0c | 50,497$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…7057backed Yes | 0c | 50,495$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…45e2backed Yes | 0c | 50,495$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee93…9f75backed Yes | 0c | 50,494$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…678dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,494$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c6c7backed Yes | 0c | 50,494$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…5719backed Yes | 0c | 50,494$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf0…b610backed Yes | 0c | 49,207$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…4510backed Yes | 0c | 46,836$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…7b0dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,527$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…53f5backed Yes | 0c | 46,527$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…f3a6backed Yes | 0c | 46,527$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…f400backed Yes | 0c | 46,527$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…5561backed Yes | 0c | 44,499$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…a38cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,499$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…7c1cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,427$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc373…3efabacked Yes | 0c | 44,425$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked Yes | 0c | 40,580$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…3233backed Yes | 0c | 40,459$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…2c95backed Yes | 0c | 39,721$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2314…f68abacked Yes | 0c | 38,669$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…32edbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 36,263$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…fa18backed Yes | 0c | 34,817$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 0c | 34,576$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…885dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…1fe5backed Yes | 0c | 27,726$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…edbdbacked Yes | 0c | 27,726$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…1b16backed Yes | 0c | 27,726$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…01e2backed Yes | 0c | 26,405$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bf…d0d5backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…8fbfbacked Yes | 0c | 23,610$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 18,065$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…6a7fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…be24backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…2832backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…b2b2backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…e280backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…655dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…64a9backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…c281backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…61ffbacked Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…1a00backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…540bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f5…e4d5backed Yes | 0c | 17,408$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…77f1backed Yes | 0c | 16,913$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…1da3backed Yes | 0c | 16,632$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b73…3ee2backed Yes | 0c | 16,440$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…3fedbacked Yes | 0c | 16,094$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…882dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,079$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8814…cdf1backed Yes | 0c | 15,932$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…3f05backed Yes | 0c | 15,900$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…ae07backed Yes | 0c | 15,867$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…0f80backed Yes | 0c | 15,846$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…078dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,769$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…dc08backed Yes | 0c | 15,763$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…cf6ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,732$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…3d40backed Yes | 0c | 15,683$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…0987backed Yes | 0c | 15,579$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0447backed Yes | 0c | 15,495$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…9feebacked Yes | 0c | 15,413$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8065backed Yes | 0c | 15,394$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e50…da05backed Yes | 0c | 15,341$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…28e8backed Yes | 0c | 15,339$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…c97bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,298$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…37c9backed Yes | 0c | 15,188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…9dc0backed Yes | 0c | 15,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…ed33backed Yes | 0c | 15,054$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…87a7backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…635abacked Yes | 0c | 14,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 14,486$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5003…573fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,381$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…6683backed Yes | 0c | 13,229$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…f9c4backed Yes | 0c | 12,627$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…3ab8backed Yes | 0c | 12,604$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…190bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,565$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…d191backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4737…d20fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…d32fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…2bd8backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…7fc9backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…0f64backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…8954backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…61eabacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…f5fdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…3998backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…037ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,758$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…8d80backed Yes | 0c | 11,614$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…e2afbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…accabacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…4002backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…9a29backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…5ef2backed Yes | 0c | 10,738$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.