Premier League · resolved market
Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8a26b72efb465ee4f3e21651c5984bd7cc7664af09becb349a6c242e36281d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,183,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,183,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 149,729$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…4a71backed Yes | 0c | 125,666$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…08afbacked Yes | 0c | 111,712$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…a5ccbacked Yes | 0c | 111,617$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a0…4556backed Yes | 0c | 111,384$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80c…2579backed Yes | 0c | 111,254$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…4a63backed Yes | 0c | 110,291$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…560cbacked Yes | 0c | 109,358$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…3939backed Yes | 0c | 108,018$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4e10backed Yes | 0c | 97,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9e0cbacked Yes | 0c | 89,865$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 82,538$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…b0f7backed Yes | 0c | 82,376$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 82,152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…c7cfbacked Yes | 0c | 66,508$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…a59fbacked Yes | 0c | 65,524$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb310…a96dbacked Yes | 0c | 63,456$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 62,133$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 60,677$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…df96backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cb…add7backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…305dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…1221backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…58cdbacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…9fecbacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ca60backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…e53ebacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…0612backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…4fd7backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…5bfabacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…b40abacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…377abacked Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…bc73backed Yes | 0c | 60,400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…9b10backed Yes | 0c | 58,742$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…9a90backed Yes | 0c | 56,974$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a9…65febacked Yes | 0c | 55,605$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…fa7ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,460$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…e0f0backed Yes | 0c | 51,456$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…15bebacked Yes | 0c | 49,466$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…d6e5backed Yes | 0c | 45,315$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…a10fbacked Yes | 0c | 45,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…dd20backed Yes | 0c | 45,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 39,222$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…e124backed Yes | 0c | 38,608$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…ac87backed Yes | 0c | 38,535$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…c432backed Yes | 0c | 35,081$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…f6bbbacked Yes | 0c | 33,996$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…777abacked Yes | 0c | 28,487$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…f4cbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,912$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d9…67d0backed Yes | 0c | 25,912$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…3e52backed Yes | 0c | 25,909$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…2656backed Yes | 0c | 25,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…0e14backed Yes | 0c | 25,191$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…ffa3backed Yes | 0c | 24,173$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…b4e3backed Yes | 0c | 22,277$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…2d1dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,276$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…d074backed Yes | 0c | 22,180$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…9797backed Yes | 0c | 22,180$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…073bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…f2b6backed Yes | 0c | 22,150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8211…85ecbacked Yes | 0c | 22,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…cc59backed Yes | 0c | 22,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…bff6backed Yes | 0c | 22,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…ff41backed Yes | 0c | 22,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…93e7backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9294…8e1abacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…162cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,850$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…8ee8backed Yes | 0c | 20,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…c72cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…6a49backed Yes | 0c | 20,750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…8fc1backed Yes | 0c | 20,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…eed5backed Yes | 0c | 20,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…e802backed Yes | 0c | 20,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…7238backed Yes | 0c | 20,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…a0bbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…b30cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…838abacked Yes | 0c | 20,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…9473backed Yes | 0c | 20,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…88b3backed Yes | 0c | 20,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…27aabacked Yes | 0c | 20,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdb…b454backed Yes | 0c | 20,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…47e5backed Yes | 0c | 20,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…23adbacked Yes | 0c | 20,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…81a2backed Yes | 0c | 20,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…f7abbacked Yes | 0c | 20,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c6…8856backed Yes | 0c | 20,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…9555backed Yes | 0c | 20,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…1214backed Yes | 0c | 20,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa7…4f8abacked Yes | 0c | 20,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…a534backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…593bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…ef45backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…934bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…431cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d3…40e0backed Yes | 0c | 20,450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0a…6d4abacked Yes | 0c | 20,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…7864backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4368…a016backed Yes | 0c | 19,900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd57…1f7dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,850$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…4da9backed Yes | 0c | 19,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.