Premier League · resolved market
Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x657d0915552c972ce20338785283cd3d1bb058218d6acddd7f0a6b8fc52dc9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,686,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,686,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ab…2533backed Yes | 0c | 118,312$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 101,260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…78b6backed Yes | 0c | 93,630$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 80,103$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…f49ebacked Yes | 0c | 78,214$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…a642backed Yes | 0c | 72,939$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…ac01backed Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…9f5ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab02…5911backed Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…e286backed Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…fb5dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…ac6ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5084backed Yes | 0c | 70,933$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…05cebacked Yes | 0c | 70,614$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…05ecbacked Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…ae03backed Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…d9f0backed Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…1267backed Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10aa…dd27backed Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ca9bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…ec12backed Yes | 0c | 68,733$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…9813backed Yes | 0c | 68,722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…33e3backed Yes | 0c | 68,722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…2a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…a3f7backed Yes | 0c | 68,722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…ddc3backed Yes | 0c | 68,722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…5f71backed Yes | 0c | 68,720$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 67,088$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 62,407$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…85bfbacked Yes | 0c | 60,949$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…2f24backed Yes | 0c | 60,946$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…3e41backed Yes | 0c | 60,841$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…9ff1backed Yes | 0c | 60,839$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…81b4backed Yes | 0c | 60,839$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…1d66backed Yes | 0c | 60,839$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…a3cbbacked Yes | 0c | 60,839$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…d441backed Yes | 0c | 60,839$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…554cbacked Yes | 0c | 60,726$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…83ddbacked Yes | 0c | 60,726$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad9…8425backed Yes | 0c | 60,726$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…d319backed Yes | 0c | 50,168$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d8…abf8backed Yes | 0c | 48,736$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…18e7backed Yes | 0c | 48,736$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dd…61b3backed Yes | 0c | 48,623$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…c57fbacked Yes | 0c | 45,822$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…ca77backed Yes | 0c | 45,822$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06bd…eb69backed Yes | 0c | 39,168$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…0155backed Yes | 0c | 39,168$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…91febacked Yes | 0c | 39,161$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6930…f51dbacked Yes | 0c | 39,060$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…748bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,014$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…29d6backed Yes | 0c | 38,996$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…9d26backed Yes | 0c | 38,960$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…2d04backed Yes | 0c | 32,678$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…7f4cbacked Yes | 0c | 29,009$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…bc94backed Yes | 0c | 26,301$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…2bcfbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…c075backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…173ebacked Yes | 0c | 25,993$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…7167backed Yes | 0c | 23,187$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…a43bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…2f94backed Yes | 0c | 20,386$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…596fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,483$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…1d27backed Yes | 0c | 18,184$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…052ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,438$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…f7a0backed Yes | 0c | 15,870$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…bc12backed Yes | 0c | 15,870$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…b90bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,709$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…8f63backed Yes | 0c | 15,681$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…2d78backed Yes | 0c | 15,656$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…b409backed Yes | 0c | 15,551$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…8021backed Yes | 0c | 15,460$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…a21abacked Yes | 0c | 15,349$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa035…43d6backed Yes | 0c | 15,304$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…7989backed Yes | 0c | 15,293$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…a143backed Yes | 0c | 15,066$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…7577backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…96dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…ef1fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886c…136bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,667$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…4a73backed Yes | 0c | 14,621$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…fec5backed Yes | 0c | 14,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…0b24backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…738fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,922$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e48abacked Yes | 0c | 13,900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…cd10backed Yes | 0c | 13,674$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…a081backed Yes | 0c | 13,667$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…ecb5backed Yes | 0c | 13,667$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…0c79backed Yes | 0c | 13,566$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…2bb0backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…aaddbacked Yes | 0c | 13,493$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…c6c0backed Yes | 0c | 13,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…bb97backed Yes | 0c | 13,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…c87dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,122$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…08d6backed Yes | 0c | 13,048$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…f708backed Yes | 0c | 12,867$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…0a06backed Yes | 0c | 12,564$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…5134backed Yes | 0c | 12,535$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…facfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.