Premier League · resolved market
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd18efe785cf24002cfa38a37413739062aa370499b3a5831d202e64596c426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7243…0d8bbacked Yes | 57c | 33,448$19,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,376.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…22fdbacked Yes | 7c | 31,489$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,374.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,389%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 29c | 25,894$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,390.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 23,331$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,844.53 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 37c | 22,768$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,451.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…9d96backed Yes | 6c | 22,566$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,114.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,244.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 10c | 20,178$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,261.46 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 75c | 17,335$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 1c | 16,920$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…3fdebacked No | 10c | 13,049$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…9c26backed Yes | 14c | 11,400$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +560.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…4a71backed No | 8c | 10,198$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…823bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,405$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,703.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 6c | 9,394$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 10c | 8,861$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked No | 8c | 7,984$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked Yes | 6c | 6,643$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +698.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 5,787$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.51 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 38c | 5,293$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.3 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…8513backed Yes | 11c | 5,273$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +206.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 8c | 5,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…27f1backed No | 6c | 4,871$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…cb11backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9052…87ecbacked Yes | 30c | 3,901$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 7c | 3,888$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 8c | 3,577$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 27c | 3,346$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,100$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 8c | 3,060$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed No | 11c | 2,900$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6539backed Yes | 9c | 2,833$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +993.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…4e56backed No | 11c | 2,811$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…46a7backed Yes | 8c | 2,574$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +543.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 7c | 2,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 4c | 2,485$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…9ae5backed No | 8c | 2,400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…3fcfbacked Yes | 21c | 2,298$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +382.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…7e87backed Yes | 5c | 2,270$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 33c | 2,100$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 20c | 2,039$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6843…fedcbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed No | 8c | 1,967$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,957$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 11c | 1,936$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 19c | 1,861$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.14 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…9991backed Yes | 6c | 1,754$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,654.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 5c | 1,734$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…c78cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,725$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 23c | 1,708$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 17c | 1,670$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.21 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 6c | 1,613$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 50c | 1,600$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 11c | 1,598$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed No | 13c | 1,526$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…c539backed Yes | 7c | 1,523$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,423.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…8a3bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,662.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…40c0backed No | 6c | 1,456$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c432backed Yes | 7c | 1,345$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,332.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…a15abacked No | 16c | 1,275$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,188$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 19c | 1,166$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 35c | 1,114$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 11c | 1,107$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 27c | 1,084$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 6c | 946.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.06 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…8535backed No | 5c | 945.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…678bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…0cc9backed No | 16c | 893.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 23c | 853.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…1842backed Yes | 28c | 848$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…0490backed No | 9c | 842.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed No | 2c | 815$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 28c | 766.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d98bbacked No | 13c | 757.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 7c | 742.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.45 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Yes | 53c | 707.17$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…4002backed No | 7c | 690.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…6fc6backed Yes | 8c | 647.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,176.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…bbf2backed No | 8c | 646.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…cfa0backed Yes | 32c | 631.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 72c | 629.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…9752backed Yes | 31c | 600$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…cd40backed No | 9c | 549.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 33c | 519.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…11abbacked No | 6c | 519.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 11c | 519.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…1af8backed No | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…b837backed No | 11c | 499.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…84b1backed Yes | 7c | 494.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,398.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 5c | 474.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…069bbacked No | 6c | 461.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +350.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…d3ddbacked No | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 11c | 456.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 6c | 449.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 7c | 447.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.