Premier League · resolved market
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d51387ba144ce767972b037a1fcdefd67010e0d6fbd5d5c685298ff1b4c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,241,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,241,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 291,056$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…d055backed Yes | 0c | 164,705$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…1278backed Yes | 0c | 132,707$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…450cbacked Yes | 0c | 101,670$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…77a8backed Yes | 0c | 99,567$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…a686backed Yes | 0c | 99,350$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…634cbacked Yes | 0c | 99,344$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…fd29backed Yes | 0c | 99,276$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…9979backed Yes | 0c | 98,223$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…c942backed Yes | 0c | 98,217$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…0572backed Yes | 0c | 98,101$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…0eecbacked Yes | 0c | 97,966$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…7391backed Yes | 0c | 97,799$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…06a8backed Yes | 0c | 97,754$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…6b7bbacked Yes | 0c | 97,395$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…9a3abacked Yes | 0c | 96,720$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…00f2backed Yes | 0c | 95,822$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…9f76backed Yes | 0c | 95,739$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b10abacked Yes | 0c | 95,062$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…8d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 94,149$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…20f9backed Yes | 0c | 92,839$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…e70dbacked Yes | 0c | 89,429$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…d24fbacked Yes | 0c | 86,329$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…ecc7backed Yes | 0c | 86,013$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…ab6abacked Yes | 0c | 84,074$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…2fe0backed Yes | 0c | 83,961$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…2266backed Yes | 0c | 81,786$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…dbddbacked Yes | 0c | 81,501$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afd…948fbacked Yes | 0c | 80,703$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…cfa0backed Yes | 0c | 80,061$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 79,999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…7259backed Yes | 0c | 78,674$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…978dbacked Yes | 0c | 74,550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…06d4backed Yes | 0c | 74,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…8eebbacked Yes | 0c | 71,639$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…7c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 71,339$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d5…7e47backed Yes | 0c | 70,823$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…84f0backed Yes | 0c | 70,446$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…4fdebacked Yes | 0c | 70,324$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…c3e5backed Yes | 0c | 70,231$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…90c1backed Yes | 0c | 69,240$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 68,659$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b8…82f7backed Yes | 0c | 67,339$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…39f4backed Yes | 0c | 66,446$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…4c57backed Yes | 0c | 58,948$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 58,243$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…83babacked Yes | 0c | 57,942$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…8a31backed Yes | 0c | 55,204$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…5104backed Yes | 0c | 55,199$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…1599backed Yes | 0c | 46,138$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…2309backed Yes | 0c | 45,449$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…885dbacked Yes | 0c | 45,356$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dec…8f8abacked Yes | 1c | 44,285$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…fa18backed Yes | 0c | 33,255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…f76dbacked Yes | 0c | 33,234$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…4c98backed Yes | 0c | 31,331$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…08d0backed Yes | 0c | 31,122$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…9ddcbacked Yes | 0c | 30,040$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked Yes | 0c | 23,850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…9c08backed Yes | 0c | 19,579$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…ce33backed Yes | 0c | 17,974$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 16,748$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…64a9backed Yes | 0c | 15,493$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…96d7backed Yes | 0c | 15,410$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…4c49backed Yes | 0c | 15,072$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…884ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…a7e9backed Yes | 0c | 14,185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…dea5backed Yes | 0c | 14,182$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…4242backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…a032backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…0f75backed Yes | 0c | 12,439$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…3e97backed Yes | 0c | 12,050$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…4698backed Yes | 0c | 12,006$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…4a95backed Yes | 0c | 12,006$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…752bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…1090backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…f447backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…40f2backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…4f82backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…311dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…a1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…f09cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…a051backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…461bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…919cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…9452backed Yes | 0c | 12,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…975cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…fa61backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d1…75eebacked Yes | 0c | 11,874$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…ceb0backed Yes | 0c | 11,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 0c | 11,141$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…d2f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…ab9abacked Yes | 0c | 10,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…58dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…8f4abacked Yes | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…d865backed Yes | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…bb23backed Yes | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…7f5dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?this page
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes won
- Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No won
- Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?No won
- Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.