Boxing · resolved market
Blonde Broker vs Ashley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18bf5a6d3d47ec7b8ecfd2769ed2c42fbb410869d230b6c295b1c7128b696242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blonde Brokerof Blonde Broker, Ashley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7801…1c23backed Ashley | 3c | 3,310$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…967cbacked Ashley | 69c | 2,896$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Ashley | 37c | 1,855$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Ashley | 37c | 1,645$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…16cebacked Blonde Broker | 65c | 1,527$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…baf1backed Ashley | 3c | 1,430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Ashley | 34c | 1,411$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…3b35backed Blonde Broker | 67c | 1,368$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Ashley | 32c | 1,343$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…2b2cbacked Ashley | 39c | 1,249$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Blonde Broker | 2c | 976.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Blonde Broker | 59c | 929.96$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Ashley | 36c | 871.51$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Blonde Broker | 54c | 849.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…45a2backed Blonde Broker | 61c | 764.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Blonde Broker | 68c | 700.62$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…8ff4backed Blonde Broker | 62c | 680.51$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…d6a0backed Ashley | 48c | 519.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Ashley | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Blonde Broker | 10c | 325.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 5cpaid | +779.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Blonde Broker | 58c | 310.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Ashley | 36c | 305.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…572cbacked Blonde Broker | 66c | 304.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Blonde Broker | 69c | 268.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Blonde Broker | 57c | 244.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…d7f5backed Ashley | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…a076backed Blonde Broker | 66c | 228.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Ashley | 43c | 222.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Ashley | 49c | 199.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Ashley | 34c | 186.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Ashley | 37c | 175.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…5daebacked Blonde Broker | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Blonde Broker | 64c | 169.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Blonde Broker | 60c | 166.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Blonde Broker | 58c | 153.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed Blonde Broker | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Blonde Broker | 63c | 146.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Ashley | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Blonde Broker | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Blonde Broker | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Blonde Broker | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Blonde Broker | 52c | 95.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…a73bbacked Ashley | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Blonde Broker | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…0978backed Ashley | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Blonde Broker | 62c | 80.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…50e0backed Ashley | 34c | 71.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ashley | 35c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…ac1ebacked Blonde Broker | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…d194backed Blonde Broker | 64c | 59.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Ashley | 29c | 54.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Blonde Broker | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…11cabacked Blonde Broker | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Blonde Broker | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…2c81backed Ashley | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Blonde Broker | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…82d7backed Blonde Broker | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Ashley | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Ashley | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b3…ccbabacked Ashley | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…6df0backed Ashley | 40c | 39.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…8fbdbacked Ashley | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Blonde Broker | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Blonde Broker | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Ashley | 37c | 34.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3385backed Blonde Broker | 65c | 33.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Blonde Broker | 61c | 32.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Blonde Broker | 68c | 32.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…d3b0backed Blonde Broker | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…cefbbacked Ashley | 40c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Ashley | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…6842backed Blonde Broker | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1302…71fabacked Blonde Broker | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.