World Politics · resolved market
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05ec2877bfffff776bbbf35cb672ca337ae659ee984adf50d4139dc14801f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 1c | 17,196$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…d1dabacked No | 0c | 10,912$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 7,442$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed No | 0c | 7,025$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…6515backed No | 1c | 6,369$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 37c | 3,563$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 3c | 2,024$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…590fbacked No | 9c | 1,850$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 75c | 1,749$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked No | 2c | 1,717$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 65c | 1,714$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.04 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 60c | 1,365$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,094$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.18 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…e58cbacked Yes | 76c | 921.12$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…610ebacked Yes | 79c | 884.06$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 67c | 879.97$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 5c | 814.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…0eb3backed No | 32c | 686.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Yes | 58c | 564.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 4c | 515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…9549backed Yes | 76c | 484.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 17c | 430.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed No | 46c | 430.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed No | 32c | 393.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 6c | 389.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…38dfbacked No | 42c | 374.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…a859backed No | 45c | 334.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 46c | 322.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…94e2backed Yes | 76c | 314.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…ed6cbacked No | 33c | 306.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…9f9fbacked No | 13c | 290.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed No | 9c | 283.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…f2ebbacked No | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 279.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…0f67backed No | 37c | 268.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2b7dbacked Yes | 80c | 262.27$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…59a2backed No | 26c | 228.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…45f8backed Yes | 68c | 222$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 70c | 218.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…172fbacked No | 34c | 215.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Yes | 66c | 211.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 64c | 202.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…4434backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 15c | 184.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…217fbacked No | 33c | 182.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…9540backed Yes | 75c | 178.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…4d20backed No | 31c | 176$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 31c | 162.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…9e59backed Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 68c | 156.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…bad6backed No | 34c | 153.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 72c | 132.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…1f38backed No | 48c | 124.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…f10fbacked No | 12c | 123.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…9f30backed No | 33c | 122.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes | 80c | 119.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…f585backed No | 35c | 114.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c3aabacked Yes | 71c | 112.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked No | 31c | 107.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed Yes | 73c | 106.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…7dabbacked Yes | 67c | 106.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…54b3backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…16c4backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…9642backed Yes | 62c | 95.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…f369backed No | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7326…1685backed No | 36c | 82.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…cd02backed No | 24c | 81.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…c976backed No | 34c | 70.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…12c7backed Yes | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…9681backed No | 29c | 69.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 77c | 68.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7611…19debacked Yes | 80c | 65.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 62c | 64.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0b28backed Yes | 71c | 63.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…a962backed No | 32c | 63.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…aabbbacked No | 40c | 62.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…2268backed No | 31c | 57.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…148cbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 29c | 53.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60a…144dbacked No | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…e1a9backed No | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…76b0backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…9d04backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…8223backed No | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 30c | 38.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…1d6fbacked Yes | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…c195backed No | 51c | 31.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?this page
- Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.