TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Auburn vs. Texas A&M

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&Mof Auburn, Texas A&M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn18c15,519$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.9868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8c…672ebacked Auburn26c7,667$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.093135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Texas A&M80c7,418$5,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.3227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas A&M70c5,118$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.412259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Texas A&M68c4,032$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Auburn11c3,856$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.842030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Auburn30c3,724$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.151,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Auburn32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96011855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Auburn30c2,569$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.8319120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Auburn30c1,578$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2626…93abbacked Texas A&M70c1,527$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe4…bafcbacked Auburn30c1,407$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Auburn6c1,309$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas A&M70c1,302$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Auburn16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M79c1,083$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texas A&M69c904.39$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Texas A&M68c889.99$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.83063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Texas A&M68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25619849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Auburn32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Auburn31c603.06$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9547131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Auburn22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas A&M69c427$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Texas A&M71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5416839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Auburn26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Texas A&M69c293.11$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.866547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Auburn26c271.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Texas A&M72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Auburn17c223.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Texas A&M69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.398078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Auburn31c217.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3940549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Texas A&M69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6210848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Auburn12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Auburn31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8630253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Texas A&M70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867060%42 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Texas A&M69c132$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.929446.8%44 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Auburn25c117$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7830548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Texas A&M69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.76764.2%43 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Auburn32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7f…90c5backed Texas A&M70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Auburn31c94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6929249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43da…7457backed Auburn17c69.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Auburn25c65.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4612857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Auburn31c64.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.088041.3%33 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Auburn32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Auburn33c60.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021941.6%91 W · 128 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Auburn25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4905…ace8backed Auburn34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef89…73e2backed Texas A&M70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Auburn31c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54734%16 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77a4…0dcfbacked Auburn32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…b46fbacked Auburn32c46.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…b42fbacked Texas A&M69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c5…e8a7backed Auburn32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93db…e431backed Texas A&M78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Auburn32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012641.3%52 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Texas A&M70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577266.7%48 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7357…4357backed Texas A&M71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Texas A&M68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.