MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556e385775d38d6f42f9ef979389c2d0c2611cb2513cbc474f75501a9cb505cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Rockies, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Guardians | 62c | 440,682$275,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,323.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 38c | 192,384$72,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,975.83 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rockies | 37c | 79,500$29,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,415 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rockies | 37c | 78,150$28,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,915.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 37c | 40,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rockies | 38c | 23,000$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockies | 39c | 21,152$8,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.09 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 38c | 16,500$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Guardians | 61c | 16,447$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.45 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 62c | 13,040$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Rockies | 32c | 4,780$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 39c | 4,684$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.77 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockies | 37c | 4,270$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.9 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 25c | 4,239$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 36c | 3,478$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.36 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies | 36c | 3,114$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.14 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rockies | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 61c | 2,921$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.27 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 62c | 2,804$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.41 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rockies | 38c | 2,800$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 62c | 2,000$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…541bbacked Guardians | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 62c | 1,529$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Rockies | 38c | 1,527$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 17c | 1,501$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Guardians | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…eb60backed Rockies | 37c | 1,276$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…05febacked Guardians | 63c | 1,259$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…4566backed Rockies | 38c | 1,256$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…8d8dbacked Guardians | 63c | 1,241$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Rockies | 37c | 1,224$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…2f29backed Guardians | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Guardians | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Guardians | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Rockies | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Rockies | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Rockies | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Rockies | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,074$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Rockies | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Guardians | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…7cfabacked Rockies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockies | 37c | 928.69$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.09 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Guardians | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Guardians | 62c | 899.27$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 70c | 892.72$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 38c | 877.18$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 62c | 781.94$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Guardians | 63c | 777.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 29c | 751$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians | 70c | 739.9$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Guardians | 73c | 739.55$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Guardians | 72c | 738.95$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Guardians | 71c | 733.2$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 63c | 648.41$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Rockies | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 63c | 627.67$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Rockies | 6c | 608.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Guardians | 62c | 569.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Guardians | 64c | 560$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 24c | 546.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Guardians | 63c | 404.76$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…ebf8backed Guardians | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Guardians | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Guardians | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rockies | 40c | 300.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 37c | 269.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 64c | 262.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies | 38c | 252.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…fe42backed Rockies | 38c | 226.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 19c | 216$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Rockies | 39c | 212.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 63c | 204.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Guardians | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Rockies | 39c | 170.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…aec4backed Rockies | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 35c | 162.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rockies | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…0ee9backed Rockies | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…c096backed Rockies | 15c | 159.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Rockies | 39c | 158.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Guardians | 66c | 154$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Guardians | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Guardians | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.