MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b36beb1f647348117da5b280c204766f7f50896cee3aa0be42ac7bfc3209f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 33c | 83,285$27,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,801.34 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 7c | 49,991$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,587.72 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cubs | 67c | 27,481$18,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,412.04 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 67c | 16,266$10,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,884.72 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 10c | 15,575$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,001.49 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 54c | 11,037$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.12 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 67c | 8,139$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 10c | 7,075$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,391.44 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 67c | 6,319$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.44 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 33c | 5,738$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.85 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Orioles | 33c | 5,526$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.73 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Orioles | 33c | 5,111$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.37 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 18c | 4,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Cubs | 67c | 3,701$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 67c | 2,522$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.24 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 32c | 1,760$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.8 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 67c | 1,549$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.59 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Orioles | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 67c | 1,499$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Cubs | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Cubs | 69c | 1,377$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 65c | 1,309$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Orioles | 35c | 1,128$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.01 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Orioles | 33c | 1,087$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 4c | 1,055$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.2 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 67c | 1,021$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.21 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 67c | 999.95$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.96 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 34c | 991.97$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.7 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 68c | 955.88$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 67c | 949$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Orioles | 20c | 944.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.32 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 34c | 910.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.23 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 65c | 907.19$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.67 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…8e42backed Cubs | 69c | 869.46$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 34c | 833.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 33c | 750$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 14c | 721.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.43 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Orioles | 14c | 717$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.52 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 69c | 704.8$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Cubs | 71c | 704.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 49c | 696.8$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 33c | 694.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 23c | 666$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cubs | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Cubs | 66c | 571.69$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cubs | 35c | 542.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Orioles | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Orioles | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Orioles | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 32c | 470$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Orioles | 33c | 422.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Cubs | 67c | 399.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Orioles | 17c | 383.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…9960backed Cubs | 66c | 360$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Orioles | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 36c | 353$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 33c | 350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 34c | 349.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Orioles | 8c | 336.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 18c | 324.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 64c | 318.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 6c | 316.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 27c | 314.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Orioles | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cubs | 68c | 283.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…ca16backed Orioles | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Orioles | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 66c | 274.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Orioles | 35c | 271.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Orioles | 69c | 262.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Cubs | 72c | 250.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Orioles | 10c | 233.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Cubs | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Orioles | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Orioles | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Orioles | 23c | 199.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Orioles | 69c | 195.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 16c | 195$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Orioles | 69c | 189.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Orioles | 69c | 186$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Orioles | 69c | 184.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.