MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325123847a74e3d133d6069b5c5f62c718896a70fa5467d3b8de8745820093ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Reds, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 39c | 65,611$25,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,453.86 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 39c | 31,826$12,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,396.14 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 62c | 22,222$13,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.36 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 59c | 11,679$6,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 61c | 10,300$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 61c | 9,204$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.57 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 61c | 7,820$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 5,483$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dodgers | 63c | 5,222$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.22 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Reds | 39c | 4,051$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 56c | 4,001$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.57 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Reds | 47c | 3,859$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.29 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Reds | 35c | 3,431$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Dodgers | 65c | 3,244$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 37c | 2,933$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.1 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 39c | 2,836$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.04 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 23c | 2,649$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.93 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 49c | 2,033$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 37c | 1,999$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.45 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 20c | 1,919$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,825$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Reds | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 24c | 1,330$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,157$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Reds | 44c | 985.36$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Reds | 12c | 939.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 37c | 922.17$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Dodgers | 66c | 909.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.7 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Dodgers | 49c | 906.22$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.22 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Dodgers | 75c | 626.67$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 9c | 588.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Reds | 10c | 540$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Reds | 32c | 509.79$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 34c | 501.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Reds | 40c | 500.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 61c | 474.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Reds | 38c | 468.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Reds | 26c | 462.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Dodgers | 67c | 438.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Reds | 11c | 399.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 349.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 37c | 328$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Dodgers | 66c | 304.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dodgers | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Reds | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 64c | 282$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 277.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers | 61c | 251$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 39c | 235.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Reds | 26c | 228.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Reds | 9c | 221.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds | 36c | 221.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Dodgers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Reds | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dodgers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Reds | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Reds | 38c | 186.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 180.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…928abacked Reds | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Dodgers | 66c | 166.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Dodgers | 61c | 163.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dodgers | 62c | 162.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Reds | 32c | 144.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Reds | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Reds | 30c | 113.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Reds | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Dodgers | 61c | 107.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 64c | 101.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Dodgers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Dodgers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Reds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 45c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Reds | 40c | 92.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Reds | 39c | 82.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Dodgers | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Reds | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Dodgers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 38c | 72.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…1a4fbacked Reds | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Reds | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Dodgersthis page
- Reds vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.