TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e2…9631backed Nuggets54c6,573$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Trail Blazers48c5,619$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.6971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers46c3,668$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…3142backed Nuggets51c2,566$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers46c1,909$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.081,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers47c1,841$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.112,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e0…900fbacked Trail Blazers48c1,788$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Nuggets51c1,727$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.549650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8479backed Trail Blazers49c1,685$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb4…f880backed Nuggets52c1,674$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2bd…3ccabacked Nuggets52c1,582$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529a…d21cbacked Nuggets51c1,536$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa871…5841backed Nuggets52c1,521$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…36e8backed Trail Blazers48c1,407$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d6…b0f2backed Nuggets51c1,321$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Trail Blazers47c1,177$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62a…8145backed Trail Blazers49c1,172$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets53c1,111$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58941742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers47c983.12$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c3…1a3bbacked Trail Blazers49c965$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda01…8f97backed Trail Blazers49c894.54$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets53c840$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99da…0c31backed Trail Blazers49c833$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfd…3b0cbacked Trail Blazers49c768$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534a…b7f7backed Trail Blazers50c687$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Nuggets52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31213133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…ad92backed Nuggets52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets53c358$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Nuggets54c305.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Nuggets50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…0105backed Trail Blazers48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets53c266.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14138942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuggets52c252$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.061,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0647…da66backed Nuggets52c236.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Nuggets53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Nuggets52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc31…9e28backed Nuggets52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Nuggets53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c42…b706backed Nuggets53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers49c160.82$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Trail Blazers50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Trail Blazers54c107$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2222458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…526cbacked Trail Blazers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Nuggets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Nuggets53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011626.7%31 W · 85 L-16.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0cab…3280backed Nuggets54c93.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Trail Blazers46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce3…e89ebacked Nuggets52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Trail Blazers51c60.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6338151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Nuggets53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Nuggets53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c2…da93backed Trail Blazers49c52.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5358…8a7cbacked Nuggets51c52.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Trail Blazers47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93db…e431backed Nuggets52c48.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4dd…af23backed Trail Blazers49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d2…4fd1backed Nuggets51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Trail Blazers48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.882254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdba…3dedbacked Nuggets52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe115…4641backed Nuggets54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb612…2df3backed Nuggets54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Trail Blazers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3633743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79eb…618cbacked Nuggets55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6667…962cbacked Nuggets53c32.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4088…4ca7backed Nuggets55c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked Trail Blazers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.37746.8%36 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…56a4backed Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa4…7838backed Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5387…b792backed Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0f…74adbacked Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf231…6b8dbacked Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4891…6c5bbacked Nuggets55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…3183backed Trail Blazers49c26.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.417052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Nuggets53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.258248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c39…9dfebacked Nuggets54c23.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd0…8492backed Nuggets54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1307…608cbacked Nuggets53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd159…8bafbacked Nuggets53c20.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe27…fdeebacked Nuggets66c20.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.344645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7375…e733backed Nuggets53c19.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8e…529fbacked Nuggets53c18.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.