NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c32f3a40a28bf6c1c65dbfc03d6248d3baf22c926571bd5bdc9b257cbea677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Under | 50c | 13,137$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 8,218$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.25 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,334$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 50c | 6,207$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.15 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 50c | 3,562$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.25 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 50c | 2,741$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.48 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…8145backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8479backed Over | 51c | 2,012$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…3b0cbacked Over | 51c | 1,920$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…b0f2backed Under | 49c | 1,733$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…365cbacked Under | 49c | 1,701$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…d21cbacked Over | 51c | 1,685$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…996fbacked Over | 51c | 1,652$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 1,545$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…f880backed Over | 51c | 1,412$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…5841backed Under | 49c | 1,364$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…893bbacked Under | 49c | 1,355$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 1,257$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.67 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…8769backed Under | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…e301backed Under | 49c | 1,201$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…900fbacked Over | 51c | 1,013$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…36e8backed Under | 49c | 984$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…0dfebacked Over | 51c | 901$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…0c31backed Under | 49c | 821$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…af2cbacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…320cbacked Over | 51c | 701$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…1a3bbacked Under | 49c | 678$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…876abacked Over | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5b93backed Over | 51c | 601$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…0105backed Under | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…526cbacked Over | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…e8f1backed Under | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…6781backed Over | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cb92backed Over | 51c | 515$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…41bbbacked Over | 51c | 505$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…ad92backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…119dbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…0791backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…3142backed Under | 49c | 421$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 48c | 396.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1567backed Under | 49c | 213$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…b706backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 52c | 136.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Over | 49c | 108.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…d90bbacked Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…a781backed Over | 51c | 45.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…0924backed Under | 49c | 45.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…2da1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…1f92backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…8893backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5this page
- Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.