MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be00e945031c54c0e5544ad1a2325ed5aaf6eb045c232aae8dd0e0b7be1d80d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 38,799$20,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,710.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 52c | 20,720$10,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 40c | 20,259$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.22 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 59c | 12,431$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 9,170$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 7,040$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.92 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 6,156$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.78 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 58c | 5,821$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.06 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 64c | 5,416$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.52 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 5,354$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.76 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Dodgers | 62c | 5,323$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 5,150$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.68 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cardinals | 37c | 5,012$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 47c | 3,850$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 3,630$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Dodgers | 63c | 3,580$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 49c | 3,190$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.34 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 2,750$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.9 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Cardinals | 50c | 2,649$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,573$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.78 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 29c | 2,493$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,450$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 48c | 2,267$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.75 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Dodgers | 64c | 2,125$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 36c | 1,947$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,926$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.26 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,858$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.58 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…9378backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,730$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers | 51c | 1,669$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.86 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,555$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.55 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,555$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.55 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,527$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,451$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…5d3dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…fb40backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Dodgers | 26c | 1,139$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…a071backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,096$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.4 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,048$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,034$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.65 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Cardinals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…e6c2backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 964.95$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 40c | 939.1$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.66 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Cardinals | 37c | 924.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Dodgers | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Dodgers | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…d267backed Dodgers | 63c | 871$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f1…f1a9backed Dodgers | 63c | 858$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Dodgers | 60c | 786.86$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.12 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 46c | 769.68$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers | 67c | 705$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 62c | 700$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers | 61c | 696.72$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 652.46$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Dodgers | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Cardinals | 68c | 613.12$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 62c | 575.35$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…0ee9backed Dodgers | 63c | 530$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 44c | 528.57$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Cardinals | 34c | 518.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.49 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 514.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.55 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…78a9backed Cardinals | 37c | 510$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 500.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cardinals | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Dodgers | 61c | 499.01$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…8547backed Cardinals | 37c | 490$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…b373backed Dodgers | 63c | 470$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Cardinals | 45c | 442.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Dodgers | 50c | 439.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 67c | 436.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 48c | 436$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dodgers | 60c | 417.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 37c | 409.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Dodgers | 63c | 403.39$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 385.76$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 46c | 364.47$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 37c | 351$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Cardinals | 54c | 343.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 59c | 335.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 47c | 329$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Dodgers | 49c | 318.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.