UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225c84ceff79ded3648d1dabfa4196c9203583f591a61fe7595e57ef117c7a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jean Matsumotoof Jean Matsumoto, Bekzat Almakhan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Bekzat Almakhan | 7c | 94,588$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.4 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jean Matsumoto | 49c | 15,278$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.58 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jean Matsumoto | 41c | 10,311$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.99 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…440fbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 5c | 7,418$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Bekzat Almakhan | 5c | 7,350$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 6,429$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Bekzat Almakhan | 63c | 6,015$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.45 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Bekzat Almakhan | 39c | 5,925$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.66 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bekzat Almakhan | 46c | 5,756$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Jean Matsumoto | 35c | 5,600$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jean Matsumoto | 62c | 4,998$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.13 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Bekzat Almakhan | 45c | 4,297$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bekzat Almakhan | 63c | 4,093$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.26 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 4,022$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.73 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 3,234$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.16 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Bekzat Almakhan | 59c | 3,044$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 49c | 2,898$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.99 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jean Matsumoto | 50c | 2,856$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.9 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jean Matsumoto | 33c | 2,839$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.45 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…9e6abacked Bekzat Almakhan | 38c | 2,574$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Jean Matsumoto | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 59c | 2,121$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.03 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bekzat Almakhan | 37c | 2,089$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.91 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jean Matsumoto | 39c | 2,018$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.64 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Bekzat Almakhan | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Bekzat Almakhan | 78c | 1,913$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bekzat Almakhan | 46c | 1,848$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Bekzat Almakhan | 49c | 1,758$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.29 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Bekzat Almakhan | 4c | 1,752$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Bekzat Almakhan | 52c | 1,646$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Jean Matsumoto | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Bekzat Almakhan | 39c | 1,535$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 41c | 1,492$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Jean Matsumoto | 35c | 1,413$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Jean Matsumoto | 79c | 1,402$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Jean Matsumoto | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Jean Matsumoto | 56c | 1,348$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.89 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 75c | 1,335$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jean Matsumoto | 36c | 1,333$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.4 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Bekzat Almakhan | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Bekzat Almakhan | 40c | 1,293$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Jean Matsumoto | 59c | 1,266$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Bekzat Almakhan | 80c | 1,200$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.34 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 985$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Bekzat Almakhan | 77c | 979.2$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bekzat Almakhan | 11c | 972.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Jean Matsumoto | 62c | 950.57$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Bekzat Almakhan | 17c | 914.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Jean Matsumoto | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bekzat Almakhan | 15c | 773$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jean Matsumoto | 37c | 745.52$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Bekzat Almakhan | 68c | 739.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jean Matsumoto | 43c | 692.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.07 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Bekzat Almakhan | 51c | 645$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Bekzat Almakhan | 46c | 627.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +641.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 39c | 623.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 609.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Jean Matsumoto | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Jean Matsumoto | 34c | 591.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.47 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Bekzat Almakhan | 50c | 583$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Jean Matsumoto | 61c | 580$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Bekzat Almakhan | 39c | 525.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 55c | 518.29$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 52c | 509.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Jean Matsumoto | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Jean Matsumoto | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Jean Matsumoto | 59c | 487.88$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…4b43backed Bekzat Almakhan | 40c | 479.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 50c | 461.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Bekzat Almakhan | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Jean Matsumoto | 59c | 452.84$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Jean Matsumoto | 32c | 450.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jean Matsumoto | 62c | 430$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bekzat Almakhan | 78c | 412.7$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 41c | 405.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Bekzat Almakhan | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Bekzat Almakhan | 38c | 399.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Bekzat Almakhan | 38c | 391.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed Jean Matsumoto | 25c | 380.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bekzat Almakhan | 48c | 377.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Bekzat Almakhan | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Bekzat Almakhan | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bekzat Almakhan | 77c | 369.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jean Matsumoto | 44c | 367.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Jean Matsumoto | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 3c | 346.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 44c | 346.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Jean Matsumoto | 50c | 341.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Jean Matsumoto | 36c | 328.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Bekzat Almakhan | 61c | 325.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bekzat Almakhan | 62c | 322.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Jean Matsumoto | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Jean Matsumoto | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bekzat Almakhan | 40c | 312.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Bekzat Almakhan | 44c | 310.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jean Matsumoto | 37c | 309$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Jean Matsumoto | 60c | 300.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Bekzat Almakhan | 51c | 286.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.