UFC · resolved market
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3a4945938934fc551b333adace09f4faff5d801ab4ae7a3461cc3f138a44e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolidzeof Vettori, Dolidze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dolidze | 42c | 54,829$22,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,057.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc9…84f5backed Vettori | 59c | 52,150$30,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,546 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Vettori | 57c | 15,995$9,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,151.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Vettori | 58c | 9,553$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,496.63 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Dolidze | 43c | 9,500$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,415 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Vettori | 56c | 8,542$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Dolidze | 42c | 5,467$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Dolidze | 44c | 5,166$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.59 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…5363backed Dolidze | 80c | 4,010$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dolidze | 40c | 3,766$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.46 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Vettori | 57c | 3,625$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.68 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…964dbacked Vettori | 60c | 3,339$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…2040backed Vettori | 58c | 2,522$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Dolidze | 42c | 2,130$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Dolidze | 44c | 2,015$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Dolidze | 44c | 1,786$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Dolidze | 43c | 1,686$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Dolidze | 41c | 1,642$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Vettori | 52c | 1,351$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.41 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Dolidze | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dolidze | 41c | 1,141$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vettori | 59c | 1,043$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.22 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Dolidze | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vettori | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Dolidze | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Dolidze | 43c | 927.77$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Dolidze | 43c | 772.28$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Vettori | 58c | 767.61$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Dolidze | 37c | 763.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.88 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Dolidze | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Dolidze | 43c | 690$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1aecbacked Vettori | 57c | 657.4$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Dolidze | 43c | 657.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Vettori | 15c | 646.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Vettori | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Dolidze | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Dolidze | 44c | 588.63$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Dolidze | 41c | 568.38$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Dolidze | 39c | 500.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693dbacked Dolidze | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…d6eebacked Vettori | 59c | 450$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…61d4backed Dolidze | 41c | 450$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Vettori | 23c | 441.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Vettori | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Dolidze | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dolidze | 41c | 353$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Vettori | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Dolidze | 41c | 345.3$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Dolidze | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…a7afbacked Dolidze | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Dolidze | 42c | 290$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…919abacked Vettori | 58c | 290$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Vettori | 57c | 286.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Vettori | 60c | 281.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Vettori | 14c | 238$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Dolidze | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…b63ebacked Dolidze | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6047…97bebacked Vettori | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Dolidze | 43c | 228.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Dolidze | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Dolidze | 45c | 224.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Dolidze | 43c | 220$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Dolidze | 41c | 219.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Vettori | 58c | 206$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf253…af1ebacked Vettori | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…e17dbacked Dolidze | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd8…69bebacked Dolidze | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Dolidze | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…21d8backed Vettori | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…9fc0backed Vettori | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…724dbacked Dolidze | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Dolidze | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Dolidze | 43c | 177.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Vettori | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Dolidze | 57c | 171$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Dolidze | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…0a7bbacked Dolidze | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…0eccbacked Vettori | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Dolidze | 41c | 159.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Vettori | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Vettori | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Vettori | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Vettori | 60c | 146.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Vettori | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Vettori | 58c | 119.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Dolidze | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Dolidze | 42c | 116.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Dolidze | 43c | 111.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Vettori | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…e89cbacked Vettori | 59c | 105.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dolidze | 40c | 103.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…53bdbacked Dolidze | 42c | 102.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…2ac3backed Vettori | 58c | 102.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…c440backed Vettori | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…4920backed Vettori | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…327dbacked Vettori | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb2…4490backed Dolidze | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Dolidze | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Dolidze | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed Vettori | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzethis page
- Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt HolobaughHernandez won
- Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosNjokuani won
- Choi vs. Kevin VallejosVallejos won
- Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody GibsonBlackshear won
- Su Young You vs. AJ CunninghamYou won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.