UFC · resolved market
Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4cbce487ed13798a432e965be36ecc60deecbacc6f7672de3982ae9cec89ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Njokuaniof Njokuani, Zaleski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Zaleski | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Zaleski | 65c | 8,197$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.26 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Njokuani | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.56 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Zaleski | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Njokuani | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Njokuani | 35c | 2,653$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.09 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Zaleski | 65c | 2,307$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.29 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Zaleski | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.94 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Njokuani | 36c | 1,014$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.89 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Njokuani | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Njokuani | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…5363backed Njokuani | 38c | 871$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Njokuani | 34c | 864.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.37 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Zaleski | 67c | 828.36$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Njokuani | 33c | 809.75$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.53 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Njokuani | 37c | 570.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Zaleski | 65c | 499.21$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Zaleski | 67c | 433.64$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.54 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Zaleski | 65c | 386.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Zaleski | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Zaleski | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Njokuani | 36c | 294.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Zaleski | 17c | 280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Njokuani | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Njokuani | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Njokuani | 38c | 262.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Njokuani | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Njokuani | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Njokuani | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Zaleski | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Njokuani | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Zaleski | 64c | 199.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Zaleski | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Zaleski | 62c | 165.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Zaleski | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693dbacked Zaleski | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Zaleski | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Zaleski | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Zaleski | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Njokuani | 35c | 149.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Zaleski | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Njokuani | 37c | 136.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Njokuani | 33c | 136.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Zaleski | 64c | 123.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Njokuani | 38c | 105.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e00bbacked Zaleski | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Zaleski | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Zaleski | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Njokuani | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…6b62backed Njokuani | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Zaleski | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…da11backed Njokuani | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…06acbacked Zaleski | 64c | 80.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…6d29backed Zaleski | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Njokuani | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Zaleski | 64c | 75.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Njokuani | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Zaleski | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Zaleski | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Njokuani | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Zaleski | 65c | 45.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Njokuani | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Njokuani | 33c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Njokuani | 36c | 39.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…523fbacked Njokuani | 37c | 35.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Zaleski | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…ac2ebacked Njokuani | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Njokuani | 37c | 29.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…a5fabacked Zaleski | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…e423backed Zaleski | 64c | 19.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zaleski | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santosthis page
- Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt HolobaughHernandez won
- Choi vs. Kevin VallejosVallejos won
- Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody GibsonBlackshear won
- Marvin Vettori vs. Roman DolidzeDolidze won
- Su Young You vs. AJ CunninghamYou won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.